NSDCC May Sales & Pricing

Written by Jim the Realtor

June 5, 2014

carlsbad

Earlier in the year the NSDCC averages were touching $500/sf, but April finished at $448/sf.

It looks like the typical number of sales in May should be in the mid-200s, and last year’s 362 sales was a sign of how wild the frenzy was in early-2013.

NSDCC May Sales:

Year
# of Sales
Avg $/sf
Avg DOM
2010
249
$388/sf
69
2011
243
$383/sf
71
2012
289
$380/sf
75
2013
362
$416/sf
42
2014
250
$469/sf
39

If it weren’t for the short-sale fraud and those blog guys talking smack, the average pricing might have started rising in 2011 and 2012 – which would have mellowed the 23% increase over the last 24 months.

1 Comment

  1. livinincali

    Those 3.45% rates in April 2013 certainly helped the frenzy. Even though prices had risen about 10% between 2012 and 2013 the monthly payment of a traditional loan was less than 2010 and 2011 (rates were close to 5% in these years). It’s only now in 2014 with the higher rates and higher prices that really spiked the monthly payment to a point that’s probably putting pause on this market.

    This little table will probably format poorly but it does give you a sense of how affordable things got when the rates dropped hard in 2012 and 2013.

    Assume
    Avg SqFt 2500

    Year | Avg Price/SF | Avg Price | Loan Amount after 20% down | Interest Rate | Monthly Payment
    2010 | 388 | 970000 | 776000 | 5.1 |4,213
    2011 | 383 | 957500 | 766000 | 4.84 | 4,037
    2012 | 380 | 950000 | 760000 | 3.91 | 3,589
    2013 | 416 | 1040000 | 832000 | 3.45 | 3,713
    2014 | 469 | 1172500 | 938000 | 4.34 | 4,664 – This is a big jump compared to last year

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