Forecast Update

Written by Jim the Realtor

September 19, 2013

It has be a wild, tumultuous year – how are the forecasts turning out? Everyone was a little light on their price predictions!

California Association of Realtors:

From October, 2012:  CAR expects the 2013 median to rise 5.7%, to $335,000.

This week’s quote:  C.A.R. says the median price in August was $441,330.

Jim the Realtor

From:  https://www.bubbleinfo.com/2012/12/31/2013-predictions/

At the end of 2012, I guessed that NSDCC sales would go up 10%, and the average pricing would increase 6%, to around $400/sf.  This year, sales between Jan 1 and September 10th are up 12%, year-over-year, and average pricing is also up 12% to $422/sf (though price velocity has been hot lately):

Results
2013 Sales
2013 Avg. $/sf
2013 Prediction
+10%
+6%
2013 Y-T-D Actual
+12%
+12%

graph (37)

Hang on to your hats for September pricing, which is currently at $497/sf!

Bruce Norris

“Bruce Norris, founder of The Norris Group, who early in the year predicted that price appreciation would be considerably more aggressive here — pegging price gains of 20 percent in the Inland area real estate market for 2013.”

http://www.pe.com/business/business-headlines/20130311-real-estate-sellers-market-forming.ece

http://dqnews.com/Articles/2013/News/California/Southern-CA/RRS

1 Comment

  1. Rob Dawg

    So, $497/sf purchase. That means $4.50/sf to rent? Right?

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