Inventory Watch

by | Aug 12, 2024 | Inventory

Mortgage rates took a dive…..for a couple of days. Now they are back in the low to-mid sixes – where they have been for the last month or two. Was there a big surge of new pendings this week? No. The total count of NSDCC pendings went up +2 since Monday.

There have been 52 closed sales in August, and their median sales price has been $2,275,000 – about where it’s been for most of the year. It gives the impression that pricing has been steady/stagnant between La Jolla and Carlsbad this year.

Let’s dig a little deeper though.

Look how dramatic the NSDCC average list pricing has dropped this year:

And these are the statistics on active listings (unsolds)! How much more will it take?

Even though pricing has improved, each price range has more listings today than when pricing was higher, indicating that there is more work to do.

For the sellers looking forward to 2025, get in early, before it gets crowded. I already have three sellers waiting for the spring market – I’ve never had people tell me so early that they are waiting until next year.

The $0 – $1,500,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
15
$724/sf
49
23
Jan 8
13
$645/sf
58
19
Jan 15
10
$664/sf
55
15
Jan 22
15
$750/sf
36
15
Jan 29
12
$834/sf
36
21
Feb 5
12
$784/sf
38
23
Feb 12
10
$818/sf
30
22
Feb 19
12
$731/sf
17
21
Feb 26
7
$725/sf
26
21
Mar 4
9
$763/sf
23
21
Mar 11
15
$742/sf
14
17
Mar 18
15
$697/sf
16
21
Mar 25
13
$846/sf
19
22
Apr 1
12
$897/sf
22
20
Apr 8
15
$869/sf
37
22
Apr 15
17
$811/sf
16
25
Apr 22
18
$829/sf
16
23
Apr 29
20
$796/sf
20
23
May 6
19
$868/sf
18
23
May 13
21
$859/sf
18
22
May 20
25
$939/sf
20
18
May 27
24
$897/sf
25
20
Jun 3
22
$879/sf
25
19
Jun 10
25
$834/sf
26
19
Jun 17
21
$823/sf
31
21
Jun 24
24
$752/sf
32
24
Jul 1
23
$760/sf
44
26
Jul 8
22
$801/sf
40
23
Jul 15
22
$815/sf
36
23
Jul 22
17
$814/sf
43
23
Jul 29
24
$815/sf
33
14
Aug 5
23
$771/sf
29
18
Aug 12
22
$787/sf
36
23

The $1,500,000 – $2,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
20
$866/sf
66
28
Jan 8
23
$890/sf
63
23
Jan 15
32
$876/sf
47
35
Jan 22
35
$823/sf
43
25
Jan 29
38
$833/sf
43
26
Feb 5
39
$810/sf
34
28
Feb 12
32
$781/sf
39
34
Feb 19
33
$797/sf
36
29
Feb 26
33
$840/sf
36
31
Mar 4
39
$827/sf
32
31
Mar 11
30
$857/sf
43
37
Mar 18
34
$847/sf
36
37
Mar 25
34
$848/sf
43
43
Apr 1
23
$873/sf
42
47
Apr 8
30
$884/sf
37
47
Apr 15
32
$961/sf
36
43
Apr 22
36
$964/sf
31
37
Apr 29
44
$921/sf
25
33
May 6
44
$921/sf
30
36
May 13
46
$939/sf
25
34
May 20
47
$965/sf
24
38
May 27
47
$965/sf
30
40
Jun 3
53
$1,006/sf
32
36
Jun 10
61
$942/sf
30
36
Jun 17
62
$909/sf
30
37
Jun 24
62
$909/sf
28
40
Jul 1
70
$883/sf
30
43
Jul 8
67
$925/sf
30
47
Jul 15
70
$888/sf
31
51
Jul 22
61
$858/sf
35
46
Jul 29
57
$859/sf
38
50
Aug 5
56
$892/sf
37
41
Aug 12
62
$895/sf
39
40

The $2,000,000 – $3,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
54
$1,046/sf
65
34
Jan 8
59
$1,034/sf
57
30
Jan 15
69
$1,094/sf
44
35
Jan 22
60
$1,108/sf
42
45
Jan 29
65
$1,126/sf
41
48
Feb 5
68
$1,120/sf
31
50
Feb 12
60
$1,123/sf
34
56
Feb 19
71
$1,130/sf
29
56
Feb 26
64
$1,138/sf
30
61
Mar 4
62
$1,202/sf
33
55
Mar 11
61
$1,211/sf
29
62
Mar 18
72
$1,143/sf
32
53
Mar 25
70
$1,101/sf
31
64
Apr 1
71
$1,049/sf
31
63
Apr 8
68
$1,076/sf
31
63
Apr 15
82
$1,058/sf
33
55
Apr 22
81
$1,066/sf
38
62
Apr 29
79
$1,076/sf
34
64
May 6
77
$1,067/sf
35
56
May 13
78
$1,069/sf
38
58
May 20
93
$1,049/sf
39
46
May 27
92
$1,053/sf
39
47
Jun 3
105
$1,025/sf
41
43
Jun 10
105
$1,035/sf
40
53
Jun 17
107
$1,002/sf
36
51
Jun 24
118
$1,034/sf
35
58
Jul 1
111
$1,013/sf
37
59
Jul 8
111
$1,019/sf
41
58
Jul 15
120
$1,014/sf
43
47
Jul 22
124
$972/sf
41
47
Jul 29
124
$974/sf
41
40
Aug 5
117
$978/sf
43
44
Aug 12
114
$964/sf
45
42

The $3,000,000 – $4,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
33
$1,216/sf
92
15
Jan 8
37
$1,248/sf
83
15
Jan 15
42
$1,236/sf
77
18
Jan 22
43
$1,283/sf
77
17
Jan 29
42
$1,242/sf
75
20
Feb 5
36
$1,363/sf
73
25
Feb 12
40
$1,252/sf
34
18
Feb 19
47
$1,515/sf
45
17
Feb 26
50
$1,512/sf
42
16
Mar 4
50
$1,588/sf
44
19
Mar 11
50
$1,594/sf
44
23
Mar 18
60
$1,537/sf
38
22
Mar 25
59
$1,614/sf
70
27
Apr 1
62
$1,660/sf
76
26
Apr 8
65
$1,479/sf
76
27
Apr 15
72
$1,442/sf
70
26
Apr 22
70
$1,462/sf
75
20
Apr 29
68
$1,434/sf
75
25
May 6
67
$1,373/sf
70
26
May 13
71
$1,355/sf
68
25
May 20
78
$1,298/sf
63
24
May 27
79
$1,267/sf
66
26
Jun 3
75
$1,272/sf
65
26
Jun 10
81
$1,248/sf
62
26
Jun 17
89
$1,195/sf
59
28
Jun 24
84
$1,229/sf
61
33
Jul 1
87
$1,227/sf
62
31
Jul 8
77
$1,278/sf
68
33
Jul 15
91
$1,263/sf
63
31
Jul 22
82
$1,272/sf
68
31
Jul 29
84
$1,221/sf
67
25
Aug 5
80
$1,180/sf
71
22
Aug 12
80
$1,196/sf
70
24

The $4,000,000+ Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
139
$1,858/sf
116
20
Jan 8
151
$1,896/sf
109
18
Jan 15
157
$1,879/sf
106
22
Jan 22
159
$1,824/sf
104
27
Jan 29
162
$1,758/sf
108
31
Feb 5
162
$1,718/sf
108
30
Feb 12
154
$1,705/sf
107
34
Feb 19
168
$1,685/sf
107
24
Feb 26
175
$1,691/sf
105
26
Mar 4
166
$1,692/sf
97
36
Mar 11
178
$1,663/sf
90
37
Mar 18
179
$1,691/sf
90
29
Mar 25
177
$1,693/sf
83
34
Apr 1
176
$1,713/sf
87
31
Apr 8
177
$1,771/sf
82
37
Apr 15
179
$1,731/sf
88
40
Apr 22
183
$1,733/sf
85
42
Apr 29
187
$1,765/sf
81
42
May 6
191
$1,751/sf
83
42
May 13
184
$1,754/sf
84
47
May 20
193
$1,734/sf
81
45
May 27
202
$1,716/sf
78
46
Jun 3
203
$1,694/sf
74
43
Jun 10
206
$1,716/sf
70
43
Jun 17
204
$1,666/sf
68
41
Jun 24
208
$1,678/sf
68
44
Jul 1
213
$1,673/sf
70
35
Jul 8
212
$1,674/sf
72
29
Jul 15
217
$1,637/sf
73
26
Jul 22
218
$1,633/sf
77
32
Jul 29
221
$1,626/sf
80
32
Aug 5
222
$1,627/sf
83
27
Aug 12
217
$1,624/sf
81
25

NSDCC Weekly New Listings and New Pendings

Week
New Listings
New Pendings
Total Actives
Total Pendings
Jan 2, 2024
18
10
255
113
Jan 8
43
12
278
100
Jan 15
52
20
305
102
Jan 22
50
29
308
122
Jan 29
44
32
314
140
Feb 5
44
33
312
149
Feb 12
37
34
292
159
Feb 19
53
24
326
143
Feb 26
45
37
324
151
Mar 4
52
45
332
166
Mar 11
53
26
331
165
Mar 18
62
32
355
159
Mar 25
45
46
348
186
Apr 1
37
42
340
183
Apr 8
58
36
352
191
Apr 15
58
29
378
184
Apr 22
44
36
384
179
Apr 29
67
36
393
185
May 6
58
48
394
183
May 13
47
34
395
186
May 20
67
26
429
171
May 27
57
36
435
179
Jun 3
55
26
449
166
Jun 10
77
40
469
175
Jun 17
64
37
474
175
Jun 24
78
29
489
192
Jul 1
51
38
496
188
Jul 8
41
37
479
184
Jul 15
52
29
509
172
Jul 22
43
42
495
172
Jul 29
50
23
503
156
Aug 5
52
40
492
148
Aug 12
49
38
489
150

NSDCC List Price Quartiles

Week
1st Quartile
Median List Price
3rd Quartile
Jan 2, 2024
$2,549,888
$4,444,000
$8,350,000
Jan 8
$2,572,444
$4,447,000
$8,097,500
Jan 15
$2,499,000
$4,200,000
$7,950,000
Jan 22
$2,429,000
$4,250,000
$7,450,000
Jan 29
$2,399,000
$4,225,000
$7,495,000
Feb 5
$2,398,000
$4,272,500
$7,495,000
Feb 12
$2,499,800
$4,297,500
$7,495,000
Feb 19
$2,499,400
$4,200,000
$6,972,500
Feb 26
$2,649,400
$4,350,000
$7,300,000
Mar 4
$2,525,000
$4,225,000
$7,149,500
Mar 11
$2,649,000
$4,295,000
$7,495,000
Mar 18
$2,500,000
$4,000,000
$6,750,000
Mar 25
$2,680,000
$4,097,499
$6,750,000
Apr 1
$2,785,000
$4,150,000
$6,999,999
Apr 8
$2,680,000
$4,047,500
$6,999,000
Apr 15
$2,570,000
$3,899,500
$6,797,500
Apr 22
$2,499,000
$3,982,500
$6,495,000
Apr 29
$2,399,000
$3,990,000
$6,750,000
May 6
$2,485,000
$3,995,000
$6,825,000
May 13
$2,475,000
$3,895,000
$6,900,000
May 20
$2,420,000
$3,750,000
$6,480,000
May 27
$2,495,000
$3,840,000
$6,695,000
Jun 3
$2,475,000
$3,749,000
$6,395,000
Jun 10
$2,388,000
$3,500,000
$6,187,000
Jun 17
$2,412,500
$3,599,500
$5,995,000
Jun 24
$2,350,000
$3,500,000
$6,398,000
Jul 1
$2,398,000
$3,600,000
$6,400,000
Jul 8
$2,399,000
$3,650,000
$6,500,000
Jul 15
$2,399,999
$3,500,000
$6,398,000
Jul 22
$2,399,000
$3,695,000
$6,398,000
Jul 29
$2,375,000
$3,650,000
$6,187,000
Aug 5
$2,350,000
$3,699,500
$6,295,000
Aug 12
$2,349,000
$3,650,000
$5,995,000
author avatar
Jim the Realtor
Jim is a long-time local realtor who comments daily here on his blog, bubbleinfo.com which began in September, 2005. Stick around!
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