Today’s local Case-Shiller reading for November is the fifth in a row that reflects the much-higher mortgage rates. The index has dropped 9% since May – don’t be surprised if in the future we see a similar trend of enthusiasm in springtime, and doldrums in the off-season:
San Diego Non-Seasonally-Adjusted CSI changes
Observation Month | |||
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Mar | |||
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May | |||
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Jul | |||
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Dec | |||
Jan ’22 | |||
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Mar | |||
Apr | |||
May | |||
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Aug | |||
Sep | |||
Oct | |||
Nov |
If the index keeps dropping over the next few months (likely), it should mean that it will get down to the late-2021 numbers. Will that be enough to impress buyers that prices are reasonable now? Or will they just go out and buy because it’s springtime?