Having 130 NSDCC homes in June sell for $100,000+ over list price should be an all-time record. If we had half that many, it would be astonishing!
But those were decisions made in April and May.
It feels like the market is in the deceleration stage, where fewer homes are worthy of a bidding war. Sellers and agents who insist on adding an extra 5% to 10% to their list price will need to be selling an exceptional property AND present it perfectly to generate offers.
The inferior homes/locations (the ones who really benefited during the peak frenzy) will be the ones that feel it the most. The gap between the dogs and the creampuffs will widen.
Listing agents who “have comps”, and around $5, can get a cup of coffee.
Open houses will help with the transparency. Buyers and lookers will be able to experience the upgrades in person, and get a better read on the traffic. The art of determining the difference between lookers and buyers will be renewed.
There will be eye-popping sales.
We will find peace with these higher prices. We would have gotten here eventually – it just happened faster than we ever thought possible.
Higher interest rates won’t have a big impact – there’s too much cash in play to soften the blow. One thing you can count on – sellers won’t care about higher rates. They aren’t in a hurry, they don’t have to sell, and they aren’t going to give it away!
If prices were to come down, it would be slowly and over time. There will be occasional deals that give hope to lower pricing, but then a couple of high sales will happen right behind them.
The ibuyers might be the only candidates who could influence the market in a panic, but they could rent their homes for a while if they had to. They are big corporate entities who are used to losing money, so no real pressure. The old accounting rules REQUIRED banks to sell their properties quickly, but those days are long gone.
More potential sellers will give up the thought of moving, and the number of homes for sale could stay restricted – or even go lower. The hope of there being a post-covid surge of sellers will wane.
If there were an occasional surge of new listings, they would all be priced based on recent sales…..or priced higher. If buyers don’t like today’s prices, having more inventory priced the same won’t help.
The statistics will bounce around more as we pull into Plateau City.
All of the above (except #1) should remind you of how it used to be!
I’ve read a lot about Blackrock and Blackstone buying loads of homes, sometimes whole neighborhoods at a time, in other areas, but haven’t seen anything about them being active in San Diego. Have they been involved in the housing market here?
Not that I’ve seen. Both of them and every institutional buyer are smart to stay in the bread-and-butter areas and price ranges.
I was surprised to see Zillow and Opendoor spend a million on a couple around here. Why risk it when you can buy two for $500,000?
“The Black Knight HPI shows home prices in May up nearly 18% from the same time last year,” said Graboske. “Frankly, home values are appreciating at rates we’ve simply never seen before, as low interest rates, ultra-scarce inventory and increasingly competitive homebuyers combine to create a truly unprecedented market.
“Indeed, the rate of growth has been accelerating by more than 2% in each of the past two months, and May’s 2.1% rise marked the sharpest monthly jump on record. Single-family home prices are up more than 18% from last May – also a record. And the growth has been widespread – home price appreciation accelerated in each of the nation’s 100 largest metros in May, with even the slowest appreciating metro area now seeing at least 10% annual growth. Data from our Collateral Analytics Group suggests even further acceleration may be on tap, as the median sales price of single-family homes in the first three weeks of June was already up 25% year-over-year.
I wore mine a couple days ago. Tan with red letters.
Once the “5% more than the last sales comp” attitude evaporates, expect a plateau. Yes, really. The next price driver will be interest rates.