San Diego Case-Shiller Index, August

by | Oct 29, 2019 | Jim's Take on the Market, Same-House Sales

Mortgage rates have been 1% lower than they were a year ago, yet sales are flat….and so are prices. We had a 2.3% improvement year-over-year, which is actually the best percentage improvement in 2019.  But look at how our Y-o-Y changes have pancaked this year, compared to 2018:

San Diego Non-Seasonally-Adjusted CSI changes:

Observation Month
SD CSI
M-o-M chg
Y-o-Y chg
January ’18
248.16
+0.8%
+7.3%
February
250.91
+1.1%
+7.5%
March
253.41
+1.0%
+7.6%
April
255.63
+0.9%
+7.7%
May
257.07
+0.6%
+7.3%
Jun
258.44
+0.6%
+6.9%
Jul
258.49
0.0%
+6.2%
Aug
257.32
-0.5%
+4.7%
Sept
256.13
-0.4%
+3.9%
Oct
255.26
-0.1%
+3.7%
Nov
253.37
-0.6%
+3.3%
Dec
251.68
-0.7%
+2.3%
January ’19
251.30
-0.2%
+1.3%
Feb
253.69
+0.9%
+1.1%
Mar
256.40
+1.1%
+1.2%
Apr
257.63
+0.5%
+0.8%
May
260.08
+1.0%
+1.1%
June
261.90
+0.7%
+1.3%
July
263.66
+0.7%
+2.0%
Aug
263.23
-0.2%
+2.3%

This latest month-over-month reading did go negative again, just like it did in August of last year.  Will we have six consecutive months of negative readings in 2019, and send our index back into the 250s?  If so, 2020 will probably look a lot like 2018 and 2019, price-wise.

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Jim the Realtor
Jim is a long-time local realtor who comments daily here on his blog, bubbleinfo.com which began in September, 2005. Stick around!
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