This year we have had a full-fledged frenzy, with both sales and pricing on the rise.  Is it still a frenzy if prices increase, but sales drop off?

Because the sales counts look like they will be feeling the usual seasonal decline this year, which didn’t happen last year. The late-2012 push (during the election!) helped to drive a robust 2013.

If the frenzy does get whipped up again next year, it will be the lower-end buyers leading the charge, because they are really feeling it. Today there are only 104 NSDCC houses for sale under $800,000, when 67 closed last month!

NSDCC Detached-Home Sales, September

Sept Sales & Avg $/sf
$0-$800K
$801-$1.5M
$1,500,000+
2011
114/$294
81/$349
33/$819/sf
2012
152/$288
94/$382
43/$652/sf
2013
67/$362
121/$426
71/$637/sf

In the lower range it looks like the sales counts are off – but it’s only because prices rose so fast that sales are jumping into the higher ranges.

The over-$800,000 sales increased by 40% year-over-year!

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