The inventory is so thin these days that we have to look at every possibility, and try to find a way to have them make sense. The trouble with having a recent comp next door is that the sellers will believe that it means something, where buyers aren’t so sure.
So it’s not my imagination that inventory is extraordinarily slim. Not that we’re not picky buyers, but with what we have to work with, it would buy a heck of a house (and land) in many metro areas!
I can see $1K/sf for beachfront property, even ancient beachfront property, but ancient ocean view property?
Nice 11,500 sq ft lot. At the current asking price, that’s only about $5M an acre.
In LA, desireable inventory is very thin and has been for the past 2 years. Some is grossly mispriced, so it sits out there turning down reasonable offers, while the desireable stuff priced within spitting distance of fair value gets 3, 4 or even 5 offers, and may go close to list or (if it was priced at market based on comparable closings in the past 3 months) even over list. This is the problem when: (1) banks fail to foreclose on delinquent underwater homes; (2) current but underwater sellers have no incentive to list their homes at realistic prices; and (3) folks with lots of equity who don’t have to sell keep telling themselves that things will get better, so they put off listing a home for another year.
Like JtR, we scour the listings that are getting stale but have lots of equity for ones that might be open to a lowball. We also throw in our bids on a the one or two good ones that pop up, but so far we’ve been outbid twice in the past month.