Here are the stats for the NSDCC detached-home market (La Jolla to Carlsbad):

Reading Date
Actives
Pendings
A+P
A/P
Oct 28, 2015
970
358
1,328
2.71
Feb 1, 2016
788
254
1,042
3.10
Mar 23, 2016
900
399
1,299
2.26
June 21, 2016
1,052
428
1,480
2.46
Aug 17, 2016
1,060
395
1,455
2.68
Dec 4, 2016
886
327
1,213
2.71
Apr 21, 2017
842
427
1,269
1.97
July 16, 2018
973
357
1,330
2.73
Oct 28, 2018
985
297
1,282
3.31

NSDCC Actives Median Price = $2,250,000

NSDCC Pendings Median Price = $1,399,000

Only 12% of the actives are under $1,000,000, and 33% are over $3,000,000 (was 10% and 35% last reading). You could say pricing has slid down 2% since July, but pricing stats are just good for trend-watching over the long haul.

The 3.31 ratio is the highest on the chart, and if it was due to an explosion of active (unsold) listings, it would be more troubling. If more homeowners were nervous, we’d see a higher total of listings today, instead of waiting for spring.

The areas in red have had prices go up too fast, and sellers are holding out.

Areas circled in green are active and healthy.

The Del Mar and Solana Beach samples are smaller and will be more volatile.

Pin It on Pinterest