Some months we are going to have a set of homes sell that, as a group, were inferior to previous sets and won’t pull the same prices.

Or the market is falling apart, take your choice!

The non-seasonally adjusted CSI for San Diego showed -0.32% decline in October, the first decline all year (the seasonally-adjusted number was +0.2%). But it isn’t the end of the world – last year there were four times that the NSA number declined, month-over-month.

Here are the San Diego NSA changes for 2015:

Month
CSI-SD
M-o-M chg
Y-o-Y chg
January
204.69
+0.6%
+5.0%
February
205.97
+0.6%
+4.6%
March
208.53
+1.2%
+4.6%
April
209.82
+0.6%
+4.5%
May
211.71
+0.9%
+4.8%
June
212.40
+0.3%
+4.6%
July
214.68
+1.1%
+5.4%
August
215.40
+0.3%
+5.9%
September
216.62
+0.6%
+6.6%
October
215.75
-0.3%
+6.2%

sf

The national headlines conveniently focused on happy talk, and reported the Y-o-Y stats, and the seasonally-adjusted month-over-month calcs.  No mention in this article that SEVEN of the 20 cities showed a M-o-M decline of the non-seasonally adjusted numbers:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-29/home-prices-in-20-u-s-cities-rose-at-a-faster-pace-in-october

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