Tuesday, January 6th, 2009 at 6:45 PM
I-15 Corridor Report
from sddt.com
With median prices for detached homes down more than 35 percent in San Diego County year-over-year in November, areas like Rancho Bernardo, Scripps Ranch and Tierrasanta have mostly endured moderate declines while seeing fewer sales in the process.
Areas with median prices above $500,000 but less than $1 million have seen prices fall an average of 11.7 percent year over year. However, they have seen 16.4 percent fewer sales compared to 2007.
Some real estate agents said the prices have remained relatively stable in those communities considering the county had only six ZIP codes where there was an increase in detached median home prices. The prices have not fallen as sharply as some other areas because “typical” buyers in that sector of the market have not changed.
While year-over-year sales have increased by as much as 156 percent in markets where prices have fallen by a third or more, sales in upper-middle-class neighborhoods like Tierrasanta and Scripps Ranch have seen slight sales declines coupled with their modest median price drops.
Saeid Mojabi, a Coldwell Banker real estate agent of more than 25 years, said Tierrasanta saw one of its worst years in sales. While he added Tierrasanta’s median detached home price decline was “not as much” as areas like Chula Vista and Oceanside, he said there are still homes in distress.
“There is major activity in foreclosures and short sales,” he said. Mojabi currently has a short sale listing for a Tierrasanta home priced at $590,000 that he served as the buyer’s agent when it was purchased in 2006 for $720,000.
However, some agents said they have not witnessed the drop in prices and sales for mid-range homes as much as Mojabi. Maria Peña-Morales, president of the Team Q group of ReMax Ranch and Beach, said her team has seen sales increase in the $500,000 to $600,000 range calling that housing class the “bread and butter” of her business.
Peña-Morales conducts business primarily in areas encompassed by the Poway Unified School District, which boasts some of the highest test scores in the county. She said good schools always draw people looking for a place to raise their children.
Scripps Ranch’s median detached home price is just over $700,000; more than double the countywide median.
However, Sue Herndon, a Prudential California Realtor, said there are still people who want and can afford homes in the upper-middle range of the market. “I think we have people who can afford them,” said Herndon. “I think that that’s still an affordable (price range), I think what’s going to be more difficult are what you would consider you’re high, high priced homes.” Herndon added homes in the $2 million to $8 million range would be difficult to sell given the current economic climate, but said there is still a thriving market for homes under $1 million.
Buyer demographics in terms of age, martial status and income haven’t changed much, but what has changed is that buyers are more qualified. “We’re going back to what our parents taught us,” said Peña-Morales. “Save up your money, put 20 percent down and have good credit.” Peña-Morales also said she has seen more international buyers looking for second homes who perceive value in the current market. She said they are looking for homes to own for the long term rather than investment properties.
“The climate of this economy is not for people to flip properties,” she said.



RB/Poway is the Housing Heads last stronghold in SD. But even there foreclosures are starting to happen. Look at PQ along the 56. Six months ago there wasn’t a house listed under 550k. Now they’re dipping under 400k. In the less desirable parts of Poway properties are listing for half what they were one year ago.
What’s interesting about RB/Poway is in the central core of both areas you have very nice 55+ communities. These properties are well maintained with very stable people. Because of the 55+ communities you have large percents of the population that although they live in RB/Poway, pay taxes for the schools, and maintain nice properties. They don’t have kids that attend the schools. This means the schools get a lot of $$$ because of the population around them but they don’t have large numbers of students.
Compare RB/Poway to places like Mira Mesa. Where you have many families living close together. Often in the same property. All their kids attend the local school. The local school ends up with double or triple the amount of students and less $$$ because property values are lower and you don’t have the number of old people that pay for the schools but don’t attend them.
shadash | January 7th, 2009 at 7:18 amOh yes the famed foreign buyer who know value like us stupid Americans do not is cited towards the end of the article.
I believe Gary Watts from OC said this group would create a higher median in 2008. How did that pan out?
LV Renter | January 7th, 2009 at 10:45 amJim
You may become the last survivng real estate bubble web page. How does that feel?
LV Renter | January 7th, 2009 at 10:46 am